Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
6º
1º
67
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 2
FEY
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FEY
4 - 4
NEC
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FEY
2 - 2
PSV
45%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FEY
2 - 0
NEC
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
AZA
5 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 2
UTR
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
AZA
16%
21%
63%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AZA
5 - 5
UTR
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
GAE
1 - 4
AZA
22%
24%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |