Ferroviário vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 1
FER
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
CEA
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 4
HOR
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |