Ferroviário vs Floresta EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
FER
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
FER
5 - 1
PAY
40%
28%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VOL
2 - 0
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
JAC
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
TOM
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 1
VOL
20%
25%
56%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TOM
0 - 0
FLO
78%
16%
6%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 2
ALT
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 1
FLO
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
FLO
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |