Ferroviário Nacala vs LD Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
29.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
FEN
32%
33%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
HCB
0 - 0
FEN
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 2
DES
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
FER
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
FEN
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
LD Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 1
HCB
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 1
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
COS
1 - 2
LIG
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 1
MAX
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
LIG
27%
31%
42%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |