Ferroviário Maputo vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
30.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
FER
37%
31%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FER
1 - 2
MAX
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
LIC
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
FER
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
MAC
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
COS
1 - 1
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LIG
1 - 3
COS
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 1
COS
37%
30%
33%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
COS
2 - 0
FEN
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 2
COS
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |