Ferroviária vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
JUV
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FER
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
XVD
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
XVD
0 - 1
OES
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 2
LIN
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 1
XVD
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 1
POR
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |