Ferroviária vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
XVD
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
NOR
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
FER
19%
24%
58%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
LIN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 0
MIR
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
MIR
2 - 0
XVD
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
MIR
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
MIR
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |