Cup Paulista Final
Global 2-2
Ferroviária vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
FER
24%
26%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
POR
76%
17%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
POR
0 - 2
FER
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FER
3 - 2
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 4
FER
10%
16%
74%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
FER
24%
26%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
XVD
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 1
INT
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
LIN
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 2
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |