Ferroviária vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
FER
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
VEL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FER
5 - 1
TCW
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 0
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 1
ATI
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATI
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
ATI
3 - 1
RIO
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |