Ferro Carril Oeste vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MIT
1 - 1
FER
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
IRV
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
MAI
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
FER
21%
25%
55%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 1
IRV
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
SAC
71%
20%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
MAI
39%
28%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAC
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
ALM
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |