Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.9%
35.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
DYJ
22%
28%
50%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
IND
3 - 0
FER
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
DHA
38%
31%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
SMA
25%
31%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
SMA
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 0
PAT
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 2
SPB
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CDN
1 - 0
PAT
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALM
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |