Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DAL
1 - 0
FER
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
BEL
25%
30%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
CAG
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 1
FER
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
GIM
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 0
IRV
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
MAI
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 2
ALM
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
ALM
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |