Fernwald vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
GOR
51%
25%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FUL
2 - 2
FER
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
VEL
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
FER
2 - 1
WUR
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 2
BAY
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
WOR
1 - 1
BAY
26%
26%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 1
WOR
61%
22%
18%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
URB
2 - 1
WOR
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WOR
2 - 1
BAU
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HEK
3 - 2
WOR
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |