Fermana vs Viterbese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
GIU
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
PES
3 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
FER
0 - 2
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 3
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIS
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SAS
2 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 4
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 1
LAQ
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |