Fermana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
40%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAT
5 - 1
FER
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
TRI
25%
28%
47%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FER
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 1
FER
34%
30%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CES
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
MOD
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 1
IMO
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |