Ferlach vs Kraig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
KAC
1 - 3
FLC
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
FLC
2 - 0
KMD
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MSA
2 - 0
FLC
27%
22%
52%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FLC
3 - 0
BLE
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
FLC
9%
14%
76%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Kraig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
SVK
3 - 0
LEN
26%
21%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
GMD
1 - 3
SVK
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
KAC
1 - 3
SVK
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SVK
0 - 3
KMD
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MSA
3 - 0
SVK
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |