UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 0-3
Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
FEN
1 - 0
ANK
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
FEY
1 - 0
FEN
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
TRA
0 - 0
FEN
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
FEN
3 - 1
DIY
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 1
FEN
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
RJC
2 - 2
FEY
30%
27%
44%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
FEY
2 - 0
NEC
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
FEY
1 - 0
FEN
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
FEY
3 - 2
BVB
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
WIL
0 - 0
FEY
37%
24%
38%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |