Segunda Liga . Jor. 5

Feirense vs Mafra analysis

Feirense Mafra
66 ELO 59
-5.5% Tilt -5.6%
2019º General ELO ranking 1620º
34º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Feirense
24.7%
Draw
19.3%
Mafra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
Feirense
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.3%
Win probability
Mafra
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Feirense
-33%
-3%
Mafra

Points and table prediction

Feirense
Their league position
Mafra
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
12º
47
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Moreirense
79
79
100%
Farense
69
69
100%
Estrela da Amadora
63
63
100%
Academico Viseu
53
53
100%
Porto II
51
51
100%
Mafra
47
47
100%
Feirense
46
46
100%
Vilafranquense
46
46
100%
Torreense
44
44
100%
UD Oliveirense
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Tondela
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Leixões
12º
39
39
12º
0%
Nacional
14º
39
39
13º
0%
Penafiel
13º
39
39
14º
0%
Benfica II
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Belenenses SAD
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Trofense
17º
32
32
17º
100%
SC Covilha
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Feirense
Mafra
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Feirense
Mafra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Feirense
Feirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2022
VIL
Vilafranquense
1 - 0
Feirense
FEI
27%
27%
47%
67 57 10 0
21 Aug. 2022
FEI
Feirense
1 - 1
Leixões
LEX
57%
25%
18%
67 60 7 0
13 Aug. 2022
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 2
Feirense
FEI
23%
28%
49%
66 57 9 +1
07 Aug. 2022
FEI
Feirense
1 - 1
Estrela da Amadora
ESA
59%
24%
17%
67 53 14 -1
23 Jul. 2022
VIZ
Vizela
0 - 3
Feirense
FEI
45%
25%
30%
66 66 0 +1

Matches

Mafra
Mafra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
MAF
Mafra
0 - 3
Farense
FAR
38%
28%
35%
60 61 1 0
21 Aug. 2022
NAC
Nacional
0 - 2
Mafra
MAF
51%
25%
24%
58 61 3 +2
15 Aug. 2022
MAF
Mafra
3 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
36%
28%
36%
57 60 3 +1
06 Aug. 2022
OLI
UD Oliveirense
3 - 1
Mafra
MAF
33%
27%
40%
58 50 8 -1
30 Jul. 2022
MAF
Mafra
2 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
61%
22%
18%
58 48 10 0
X