Febres vs Penelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Febres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 2
FEB
30%
23%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
FEB
62%
20%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FEB
1 - 1
EIR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PAM
3 - 2
FEB
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FEB
2 - 1
LAG
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
ANC
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
EIR
0 - 3
PEN
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 3
PAM
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 3
PEN
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |