PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 1
ZWO
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ZWO
2 - 1
LOM
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 1
ZWO
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 3
TWE
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
NEC
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
BBU
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 1
NEC
69%
18%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |