Afragolese vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
AFR
60%
19%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
AFR
1 - 1
MON
12%
22%
66%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIS
2 - 3
AFR
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
AFR
1 - 2
LAT
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 2
AFR
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 1
MUR
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
NOC
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 2
FOR
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 2
NOC
33%
28%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOC
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |