Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
3 - 0
GAE
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 2
UTR
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |