Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
17%
21%
61%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ZWO
4 - 3
UTR
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
UTR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
11%
17%
72%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |