Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
RJC
3 - 2
UTR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 1
SCH
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 2
GRO
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
RKC
2 - 2
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
AZA
1 - 1
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 2
AZA
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 2
AZA
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
FEY
4 - 2
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |