Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
GRA
2 - 1
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
UTR
2 - 1
AZA
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
HFC
1 - 0
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
PSV
6 - 0
UTR
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
UTR
3 - 0
GAE
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
AJA
3 - 0
GAE
86%
9%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 1
AJA
58%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
AJA
1 - 0
ANT
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
AJA
6 - 1
RJC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |