Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 3
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
TWE
3 - 1
AZA
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 4
TWE
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 0
UTR
15%
21%
63%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 2
WIL
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |