Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TWE
2 - 2
FEY
16%
22%
63%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 2
TWE
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TWE
0 - 0
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 2
WIL
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
ADO
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 6
UTR
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FEY
5 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
FCE
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |