Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 4
TWE
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 2
GRO
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZWO
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
FCD
0 - 4
WIL
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ADO
3 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |