Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TWE
25%
25%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 4
UTR
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FEY
0 - 0
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TWE
0 - 0
RKC
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 3
TWE
38%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HER
4 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
FEY
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
ADO
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
RKC
0 - 0
WIL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |