Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
ZWO
3 - 3
TWE
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
TWE
2 - 2
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
TWE
3 - 0
VOL
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
RJC
0 - 0
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
RJC
3 - 1
NEC
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VVV
1 - 1
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
GAE
2 - 0
NEC
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 1
HFC
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
AZA
8 - 1
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |