Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 1
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 1
TWE
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 2
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
54%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
TWE
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HER
1 - 4
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
ZWO
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
HER
0 - 3
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |