Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
RJC
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 4
TWE
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 0
HEL
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
VVV
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 4
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |