Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TWE
0 - 1
FEY
33%
25%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 3
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 2
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 1
ZWO
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
SCH
25%
24%
50%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 0
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |