Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
ADO
1 - 2
TWE
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
TWE
4 - 3
RKC
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 0
SPA
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
DTO
1 - 7
TWE
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 2
TWE
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
14%
19%
67%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |