Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
TWE
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
VEL
1 - 0
TWE
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
TWE
2 - 2
MVV
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 3
TWE
23%
29%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 0
TEL
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
WAG
2 - 2
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
EXC
3 - 0
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |