Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
TWE
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ZWO
2 - 1
TWE
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 4
ADO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
S04
1 - 1
TWE
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
4 - 0
ADO
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
JAB
0 - 0
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
50%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
JAB
47%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |