Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
TWE
0 - 0
ZWO
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
RBC
1 - 0
TWE
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
AJA
7 - 1
GRA
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
AJA
6 - 1
RKC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AZA
1 - 3
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 2
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |