Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
65.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
FOR
1 - 0
TWE
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
TWE
3 - 0
BVV
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
GAE
0 - 2
TWE
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
TWE
3 - 2
SPA
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
PSV
4 - 0
TWE
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
AJA
5 - 2
ZWO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
BOS
1 - 4
AJA
13%
22%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
AJA
1 - 3
FEY
77%
13%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1987 |
AJA
1 - 0
LOK
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
UTR
2 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |