Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
TWE
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
TWE
1 - 1
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
TWE
0 - 1
HFC
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
AZA
3 - 0
TWE
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
MUD
2 - 0
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
3 - 2
EIN
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
MUD
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |