TIAMO Hirakata vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
12º
4º
12
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
7º
|
12 | 61 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 57 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 50 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 35 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 35 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 47.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TIAMO Hirakata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SON
3 - 2
TIA
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TIA
3 - 2
SUN
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TCF
2 - 1
TIA
18%
22%
61%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 1
YOK
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 0
SON
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HON
0 - 0
MIO
72%
18%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VER
0 - 0
HON
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
HON
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HON
1 - 0
SON
71%
18%
10%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HON
3 - 1
CRS
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |