FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
71.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
5º
10º
6º
90
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 0
FCT
32%
22%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 1
VJK
27%
23%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 2
FCE
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
LEV
40%
24%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 5
FCT
9%
16%
75%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 0
JKJ
90%
7%
2%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NOM
2 - 1
TAB
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TJK
0 - 5
NOM
5%
12%
83%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 0
VJK
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 8
NOM
9%
15%
76%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |