Struga vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
8º
2º
37
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 1
FCS
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
VOK
0 - 0
FCS
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 3
FCS
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
SIL
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
45%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
AKP
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
MAK
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
SHK
19%
24%
56%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |