Spiez vs Gumefens / Sorens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 0
DUR
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCS
34%
24%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 2
TPA
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCE
2 - 1
FCS
26%
24%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 2
FCK
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gumefens / Sorens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GUM
1 - 3
BEL
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 63 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
GUM
4 - 2
TPA
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 0
GUM
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
GUM
1 - 4
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
FCK
4 - 3
GUM
25%
24%
52%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |