Skonto Riga vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 0
VEN
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 2
FKJ
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FKS
0 - 3
FCS
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 1
LIE
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCS
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
FKS
1 - 0
BFC
41%
24%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LME
1 - 2
BFC
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BFC
1 - 1
FCS
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
FKT
2 - 10
BFC
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 1
BFC
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |