Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 5
FCP
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
5 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 5
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 0
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
3 - 3
AST
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
AST
1 - 3
SCP
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 0
FEI
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |