Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 2
FCP
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 0
FCP
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
OLH
0 - 0
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
APO
2 - 1
FCP
24%
24%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 0
SPB
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
35%
26%
40%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
SPB
5 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPB
26%
28%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SPB
3 - 0
FEI
67%
22%
11%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |