Primeira Liga Round 30

Porto vs Marítimo analysis

Porto Marítimo
89 ELO 75
2.1% Tilt 4.3%
113º General ELO ranking 1059º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
76.8%
Porto
15.6%
Draw
7.6%
Marítimo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
Porto
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.6%
Win probability
Marítimo
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Porto
-4%
-2%
Marítimo

ELO progression

Porto
Marítimo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2004
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 2
Porto
FCP
55%
24%
21%
88 90 2 0
03 Apr. 2004
GFC
Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Porto
FCP
18%
24%
59%
88 69 19 0
28 Mar. 2004
FCP
Porto
1 - 0
Moreirense
MOR
78%
15%
7%
88 71 17 0
23 Mar. 2004
FCP
Porto
2 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
46%
25%
29%
89 90 1 -1
16 Mar. 2004
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 3
Porto
FCP
23%
26%
51%
89 75 14 0

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2004
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 0
Os Belenenses
BEL
53%
25%
22%
74 70 4 0
26 Mar. 2004
ACA
Académica
2 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
39%
28%
33%
75 67 8 -1
19 Mar. 2004
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
59%
24%
17%
75 68 7 0
14 Mar. 2004
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
70%
19%
11%
75 86 11 0
07 Mar. 2004
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 2
União de Leiria
UDL
47%
27%
27%
75 75 0 0