Porto vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCP
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
VST
0 - 2
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
GFC
1 - 1
VIT
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 1
GFC
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GFC
1 - 2
UDL
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SCP
2 - 0
GFC
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
GFC
0 - 1
BOA
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |