Porto vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 1
BMA
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2004 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
22%
26%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
CSK
0 - 1
FCP
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 1
BOA
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GFC
0 - 2
FCP
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CHL
4 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
FUL
1 - 2
CHL
24%
27%
49%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 4
CHL
20%
25%
55%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 0
PSG
65%
22%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
CHL
2 - 2
BOL
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |