Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FCP
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCP
5 - 3
SAN
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 4
FCP
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FAR
0 - 3
FCP
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLA
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
SLA
2 - 0
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 3
BEL
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPB
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 1
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |